Monday, September 30, 2024

"Maju Johor" gear up for JS-SEZ

Throughout the Bukit Mahkota by-election, one can hear Johor Menteri Besar repeating the new tagline for Johor, "Maju Johor" as the state prepare itself for the game changing Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ). 

Dato Onn Hafiz spent much time campaigning at Bukit Mahkota to take the opportunity to hit home to Johoreans that the state will not be the same anymore. They should not be left out of the opportunities that will present itself. 

Already there is a strong interest for JS-SEZ in Singapore with 93% of traders are up for it. 

Self serving political rhetorics of Dr Mahathir against Singapore are a thing of the past. His personal bad experience as Medical student in Singapore should not continue to be a stumbling block to Johor anymore. 

Friday, September 27, 2024

The DAP ceramah finale tonight near Kluang Public Bank would be interesting to observe


The video plea by Liew Chin Tong to DAP voters to vote BN candidate for DUN Mahkota in Kluang encapsulate the need for them to cast aside the petty political spat between Teresa Kok and Dr Akmal Salleh and vote the BN candidate Syed Hussien for the economic interest of the nation and indirectly the Chinese community.

It is the same motivation that this blogger cast aside past partisan differences to put the economic priority of the nation in facing the challenging period to the nation and now second economic lift-off that will benefit Johor immensely.

Will DAP voters base do so and make effort to take leave to return from Singapore to vote in Kluang for BN tomorrow?

Thursday, September 26, 2024

Sri Lankans reject the Rajapaksas for leftist President

Marxist political outsider takes oath as new Sri Lanka president as voters reject establishment parties

Dissanayake’s win represents a dramatic elevation in the fortunes of his left-wing JVP party

Independent o Mroosha Muzaffar o 1 day ago 

Anura Kumara Dissanayake, a Marxist-leaning politician and leader of the People’s Liberation Front – JVP or Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna – has been sworn in as Sri Lanka’s new president after winning the election with 42.31 per cent of the vote.

On Monday morning, he pledged to address the country’s complex challenges, restore public confidence in politics, and tackle corruption. Mr Dissanayake, 55, led the Marxist-leaning National People’s Power coalition and secured victory over opposition leader Sajith Premadasa and 36 other candidates in Saturday’s election.

He garnered 5,740,179 votes, while Mr Premadasa received 4,530,902 votes, and has pledged to work with other parties to turn around Sri Lanka’s severe economic troubles. “We have deeply understood that we are going to get a challenging country,” he said in a brief speech after assuming office on Monday. 

“We don’t believe that a government, a single party or an individual would be able to resolve this deep crisis.”

His victory follows a period of both political and fiscal turmoil that led to former president Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s resignation amid mass protests in 2022. Mr Rajapaksa fled the country and was replaced by his prime minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, who also ran in Saturday’s election but finished a distant third.

Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Is the West really threatened by BRICS?

That is how the above documentary sounded. 

Generally, the following video is the western attitude to the dedollarisation trend that is in play as it is revealed recently that Japan, China and Saudi Arabia are reducing their dollar holding to buy gold.

Ceterus peribus? Everything remain the same? Or its just putting up a bold front?

As a debtor nation dependent on other nations to hold reserves in US dollar or their government bonds to finance their US$35 trillion debt in which servicing the interest itself is US$1 trillion a year, they cannot afford to be arrogant.

Monday, September 23, 2024

Agong's China visit: Local portal echo US, S'pore media against national interest

His Majesty the DYMM Seri Paduka Baginda Yang Dipertuan Agong, Sultan Ibrahim returned safely from a successful 4-day official visit to China yesterday. 

South China Morning Post and Star Online reported Agong in tears expressing gratitude to China for the treatment provided to the departed prince, Tengku Abdul Jalil. 

Local media emphasised the improving bilateral relation between China and Malaysia, in which the last visit by an Agong was in 2014. Sadly, a local business portal chose to do third party reporting purely based on "Reuters .... has alleged" and insinuate the visit as a private business trip by Agong. 

The business portal, by a publishing company established since 2019 with several known publications in the market and boasting a string of accolades, should have done their homework, not blindly follow American and Singaporean narrative, and put national interest as priority.    

A Pakistan media, Express Tribune (below) had better sense and could appreciate the key takeaway of this visit:

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Ringgit, Harris lead, Biden's hand in glove, Hitech for NIISE


Notice not much conversation on the latest development in the critical national semiconductor industry except petty social media comment blaming the government for Intel Penang layoff. 

So obtuse is the political mindset on economic matters that the need to scribble something on Monday Maulud Nabi holiday. Economics is the blood vein and backbone to peoples' livelihood. How could Malaysian polity be so economically illiterate?   

Situation is more complex. This morning's paper talked of "Ringgit outlook tied to rate cut and Trump win". What the hell is media thinking?

Ringgit outlook is yesterday's news. It already closed at 19 month high as of yesterday at 3.267. Overshot end of year forecast, made several times - early this year and middle of last year. Time to talk of the implication of the present level of Ringgit. Can it stabilise and sustain there. 

The discussion did touched on the impending Fed rate cut. 

Monday, September 16, 2024

Chip war and volatile semicon market: Will it affect Malaysia?

Back in June 2024, business media was prepping the market and public with optimism on the back of stellar performance of the Malaysian semiconductor industry. Maybank's blog report started with the opening line:

Amidst persistent geo-political tensions, Malaysia's semiconductor industry stands as a beacon of growth, poised to seize a substantial share of the global market, projected to reach a staggering USD$588 billion with a 13% growth trajectory this year.

A lecturer and Senior Manager for InvestPerak was all praises for the National Semiconductor Strategy announced by Dato Seri Anwar Ibrahim at an event that month. 

However, off-late tech stocks have been taken a beating in the market on Wall Street and Bursa Malaysia since the Yen carry trade driven sell-off early in the month. For one, the incumbent darling semiconductor stocks, Intel having been on a reversal trend to the other rising semiconductor stocks. 

The new darling, Nvidia have taken a tumble due to some anti-trust issues, a usual front for corporate battle in the US. 

In addition, both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are campaigning to revive manufacturing sector in the US to compliment the sanction strategy imposed on China. The globalisation promoted by Clinton and Obama doing a reverse due to geopolitics. 

This could have an impact on Malaysia and the layoff by Intel Penang, though an Intel problem, is seen by certain business and stock investor as prequel to a pullout.   

Friday, September 13, 2024

YTL do not qualify for Johor's ART and other PPP projects

ART prototype in Kuching

On Monday September 9th, Dato Seri Anwar Ibrahim unveiled PIKAS 2030 or Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Masterplan, It aims to boost governance and management of projects under PPP framework or in the decades used parlance, privatisation.  

There will be more competitive bidding, transparent and merit-based to ensure good governance, free from corruption, and high standard of management. The "whole nation" approach will be used to build a progressive nation approach for all.

Taking that into account, then companies with a poor track record of governance, having their past unraveled and implicated in court cases should not be allowed to participate in any PPP projects. 

Any  application and bid put on hold pending investigation or revelation in court proceeding. Only then PMX seriousness for governance not taken lightly. One such company is YTL. 

YTL's bid for Johor's ART or MyHSR should not be considered, especially with the age old 1Bestari.net controversy is a hot conversation on social media and among the knowledgeable public. 

Their takeover of Ranhill should be reviewed by UKAS and government.

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Fed Chairman should be fired for leading US economy to recession

President Reagan's former Economic Adviser, renown American economist Prof Steve Hank expressed his dismay with the inability of the present Federal Chairman Jeremy Powell in handling the inflation problem.

It is likely to steer the economy towards a recession. View this podcast as he lamented Powell is not economically trained but as Wikipedia revealed he is a lawyer with political science as his first degree.

Political skill and being legalistic for consensus building is not the right qualification. His expertise must be in the subject matter and like the legendary Paul Volcker, Fed Chairman should have economic instinct to anticipate economic development.

Thought only Malaysia is obsessed to place those in the supporting role of organisations such as lawyers and accountants in leading roles as CEO or Chairman.

From yesterday's Trump-Harris debate, Trump's idea of effective leadership is to fire the incompetence. Fed Chairman have been warned thus should be fired. 

In the meanwhile, market is jttery with the prospect of recession in the US. Star Online published the following Bloomberg report yesterday:

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

While Trump-Harris still debating, analyst expect Malaysia benefit a Trump win

They are still slugging it out live in Philadelphia on ABC News. In the meanwhile, a Fund Manager shared the following impact of a Trump Presidency in brief: 

Potential impact of Trump Presidency 2.0 on trade 

➡️ Trump is suggesting universal tariff of 10% for all goods imported to US

➡️ Trump is also suggesting tariff for imported China goods of 60%

Monday, September 9, 2024

Kamala predicted to win, What to expect?

Four days ago, the renown election predictor Prof Allan Lichtman was reported below by USA Today:

WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.

Spoiler alert: it’s Vice President Kamala Harris.

Lichtman said in a video, first reported by The New York Times, that he based his prediction on thirteen keys or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.”

Read on HERE

Kamala Harris is still tie with Donald Trump in a recent poll at the must win swing state of Pennsylvania.

Since we did an article on possibility of a Trump win, Lichtman's prediction made it necessary to analysis the possible policies of Kamala and its effect on the region. 

Thursday, September 5, 2024

UMNO need to find its relevance


In the Barisan Nasional circle, often discussed in conversations is the relevance of MCA. 

Till the next political shift, majority of Chinese voters are backing DAP to represent them. MCA is left with two seats in Malay-majority Parliamentary constituencies. Meanwhile, barring anything untowards, MIC is left with only the Deputy President's Tapah seat.

Be that as it may, the future is not so assured for UMNO as well and the caution was thrown at the recent UMNO General Assembly. The surprise win at the Nenggiri by-election and confidence leading to the Bukit Mahkota by-election does not assure a lasting one. 

Though Zahid meant as BN would be deemed irrelevant should PH form a unity government with PN after GE15, UMNO's relevance has entered the vocabulary. 

They cannot fail to reinvent themselves and find the right positioning in today's politics. 

Joceline Tan still see a bleak future for UMNO as she dwelled on the future leadership of the party. In a feudel party like UMNO, weightage on leadership as the determinant of success is more. 

Such is it that there is a faint hope for Najib to revive the party. By the time he finally get released and back in mainstream politics, will the channel of young voters that threw him out not in their prime and generational change politics has taken place?  

Its happening everywhere. That the diehards refused to face the eventuality.    

Monday, September 2, 2024

Merdeka and Nation building: Ideological or practical?

Every year during the Merdeka to Malaysia Day celebration, one will hear the repeated debate over the date of Merdeka, Merdeka is only for the Peninsular states, and this year, a new debate: Is it National Day or Merdeka Day?

From the Sabah and Sarawak side, a new one surfaced. A history Professor claim their independence is sometime in 1945. Jeffrey Kitingan used the occasion to rant over addressing Sabah as a state. More to be heard approaching Malaysia Day.  

Oh boy, good thing Johoreans did not bother to gloat of their history of never formerly a colony of Britain. As sovereign, it had embassies abroad in as far away as European capitals. 

These are all talking of the past. Needed is introspection into the present and set foresight for the future. Being correct merely gives a false sense of national or state or racial pride. 

Its a matter of different forms, but the reality was all states in Semenanjong, Sabah and Sarawak were British colonies. All were poor! 

Better be practical and address the problems of nation building.